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12 Jul 2011

A Paradox that Fooled 1000 PhDs! – Scam School

Author: admin | Filed under: Booze




revision3.com The Monty Hall problem fooled thousands when it was published in Parade magazine. Learn the secret! —————————————- BE SOCIAL! Share this video! Scam School Homepage revision3.com Twitter twitter.com Facebook www.facebook.com Brian Brushwood’s Homepage shwood.squarespace.com Brian Brushwood on Twitter twitter.com —————————————- ABOUT SCAM SCHOOL If Harvard offered a PhD in deceit, this would be it. Award-winning magician Brian Brushwood takes viewers on an inside tour of bar tricks, street cons, and scams. If you watch carefully, you’ll never have to pay for a drink again! —————————————-

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This entry was posted on Tuesday, July 12th, 2011 at 3:59 am and is filed under Booze. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

25 Responses to “A Paradox that Fooled 1000 PhDs! – Scam School”

  1. matthebat1234 says: July 12th, 2011 at 4:55 am

  2. actually there are 15 heads on a dollar bill. on the front of the bill on the top right 1 on the thing around it in the little div it there is an owl

  3. ColtTenney says: July 12th, 2011 at 5:08 am

  4. I learned the monty hall problem in 9th grade and im now in college trying to explain it to my friends and they think im an idiot and that it isnt true……

  5. TheDropShotMaster says: July 12th, 2011 at 6:04 am

  6. now i am currently watching this for my 1st time and im at 3:52, but if i am correct, i saw this same principle in the movie, 21, and they make you want to change but you stay, so you should change

  7. RyanPlayChess says: July 12th, 2011 at 6:52 am

  8. so amaaaaaaaaaaaaaaazzzzzzzzzzzzziiiiiiiiiiinnnnnnnnnnnnnnggggggg!!!!!!!!!!!

  9. HockeyTunes says: July 12th, 2011 at 7:15 am

  10. 8bitmagic is right about the 13 and the hidden owl head on the top right that the artist snuck in.

  11. 8bitmagic says: July 12th, 2011 at 7:26 am

  12. but I thought the answer was 18
    1 Washington
    1 Eagle
    13 arrows (look closely)
    2 “heads” of treasury or whatever who signed the fron
    1 spider/owl head above and to the left of the 1

    I may be wrong about the signatures but even so you missed 2 heads

  13. TheRedLettuce says: July 12th, 2011 at 8:15 am

  14. count all the arrow heads, the eagle, Washington, the owl in the top left, and the spider’s head on the top right (for the spider and owl you need a microscope to see them.)

  15. SugarFreeNubCakes says: July 12th, 2011 at 8:59 am

  16. There are 13 arrow heads. Not 12.

  17. RisefromyourGRAVE says: July 12th, 2011 at 9:50 am

  18. duh… They were probably phd’s in fake sciences

  20. @BecuzIt Sorry for some reason I completely overlooked the word ‘to’. I’ll read twice before commenting next time. :)

  22. @Kuploosh No, my comment said “…odds of 1 to 2, which is the same as a probability of 1/3.”

    The odds in favor of an event is expressed as a RATIO of the probability of the event to the probability of its complement; in other words, favorable outcomes over unfavorable outcomes, NOT total outcomes. The odds of rolling a 1 on a die would be 1:5 for example

    I can see why you might have thought I was having confusion about the actual problem but you should have read carefully

  24. @BecuzIt Actually, if the other “goat” is revealed, and you are given the chance to switch, you will win 2 out of 3 times. If you always stick with your first choice, you will win 1 out of 3 times. Think of it this way. If you always switch, you can only lose if you initially picked the “car”. Since you have a 1/3 chance of picking the car first choice, you have a 2/3 chance of winning if you switch. Make sense?

  25. thepokemaster519 says: July 12th, 2011 at 11:08 am

  26. there are 15 heads the arrowheads, eagles head,whashingtons head, and the owl in the top right hand corner behind the 1

  28. I’ve got a better scam. If the contestant picks a goat end the game and don’t give him the chance to switch. If he stays when he has the chance to switch, he still wins 1 in 3. But if he switches he now loses all the time instead of winning 2 out of 3.

  29. mongoose308 says: July 12th, 2011 at 12:09 pm

  30. I don’t think it’s really a paradox, but this is still a great video. :)

  31. MrRyan1789 says: July 12th, 2011 at 1:03 pm

  32. one more head…the owl on the top left

  33. spinamajig says: July 12th, 2011 at 1:16 pm

  34. Saw this on “numb3rs”! Freaking simple!

  36. in mathematical terms, odds would be 1 to 2, which is the same as a probability of 1/3. “odds” are expressed as favorable over unfavorable

    since it’s colloquial here , hardly a matter of consequence to most people, but still…

  37. WhiteHenny says: July 12th, 2011 at 2:58 pm

  38. @coprophob907 and the alien :)

  39. WhiteHenny says: July 12th, 2011 at 3:06 pm

  40. @cblouin06 and this isn’t a paradox, why does he keep referring to it as a paradox?

  41. cblouin06 says: July 12th, 2011 at 3:44 pm

  42. there are 13 arrow heads not 12……

  43. balloonchicken says: July 12th, 2011 at 4:31 pm

  44. I’ve spent so much time explaining this to friends… It’s kind of a fun hobby! The main thing is there’s a 2/3 chance you don’t have the car. The host then opens a box which he knows doesn’t contain the car (he has added additional information). Since there was only a 1 in 3 chance your original choice was right, there will be a 2 in 3 chance of winning if you switch to the other box. Mike still doesn’t belive me.

  45. coprophob907 says: July 12th, 2011 at 5:22 pm

  46. 15 heads. they missed the owl

  48. where can i get a list of the 1000 PhDs?

  50. wtf is up with these ads?!

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